Banner Portal
L'industrie 4.0 et ses impacts sur le monde du travail
PDF (Português (Brasil))

Mots-clés

L'innovation technologique
Fabrication avancée
Emploi industriel
Brésil

Comment citer

Gimenez, D. M., & Santos, A. L. dos. (2021). L’industrie 4.0 et ses impacts sur le monde du travail. RBEST: Revista Brasileira De Economia Social E Do Trabalho, 3(00), e021017. https://doi.org/10.20396/rbest.v3i00.15969

Résumé

L'objectif de l'article est de présenter le débat sur les conséquences de l'industrie 4.0 dans le monde du travail sur la base de rapports d'organisations multilatérales, d'études universitaires et de projections de cabinets de conseil sur les transformations technologiques et leurs impacts sur l'emploi. Tout d'abord, les principaux changements dans la structure économique dus à l'avancée de la “fabrication avancée” sont analysés. Ensuite, les impacts de l'automatisation sur le travail sont abordés, en mettant en évidence le processus de destruction et de création d'emplois et les nouvelles formes d'organisation du travail. L'impact hétérogène des innovations technologiques sur l'emploi est évident si l'on compare les pays centraux et périphériques en termes de rythme de changement, de secteurs économiques et de groupes sociaux les plus touchés, et de niveau de qualification des emplois supprimés et créés. A la fin, de brèves remarques sont faites sur les spécificités brésiliennes.

https://doi.org/10.20396/rbest.v3i00.15969
PDF (Português (Brasil))

Références

African Development Bank Group (AfDB), Asian Development Bank (ADB), Banco Interamericano de Desarrollo (BID), European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) (2018). El futuro del trabajo: Perspectivas regionales. http://dx.doi.org/10.18235/0001059

Albuquerque, P. H. M., Saavedra, C. A. P. B, Morais, R. L., Alves, P. F., & Yaohao, P. (2019). Na era das máquinas, o emprego é de quem? Estimação da probabilidade de automação de ocupações no Brasil. [Texto para Discussão, n. 2457], Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada (IPEA). https://www.ipea.gov.br/portal/images/stories/PDFs/TDs/190329_td_2457.pdf

Autor, D. H. (2015). Why are there still so many jobs? The history and future of workplace automation. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 29(3), 3–30. https://doi.org/10.1257/jep.29.3.3

Harris, K., Kimson, A., & Schwedel, A. (2018). Labor 2030: The collision of demographics, automation and inequality. Bain & Company, Macro Trends Group. https://www.bain.com/contentassets/fa89826544934e429f7b6441d6a5c542/bain_report_labor_2030.pdf

Beaudry, P., Green, D. A., & Sand, B. M. (2016). The great reversal in the demand for skill and cognitive tasks. Journal of Labor Economics, 34(S1), S199–S247. https://doi.org/10.1086/682347

Bessen, J. (2016, January 19). The automation paradox: When computers start doing the work of people, the need for people often increases. The Atlantic. https://www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2016/01/automation-paradox/424437/

Brussevich, M., Dabla-Norris, E., Kamunge, P., Karnane, C., Khalid, S., Gaspar, V., & Kochhar, K. (2018). Gender, technology, and the future of work. [IMF Staff Discussion Notes, SDN 18/07), International Monetary Fund. https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/Staff-Discussion-Notes/Issues/2018/10/09/Gender-Technology-and-the-Future-of-Work-46236

Brynjolfsson, E., & Mcaffee, A. (2012). Race against the machine: How the digital revolution is accelerating innovation, driving productivity, and irreversibly transforming employment and the economy. Digital Fronitier Press.

Bughin, J., Hazan, E., Lund, S., Dahlström, P., Wiesinger, A, & Subramaniam, A. (2018). Skill shift: Automation and future of workforce. [MGI Discussion Paper, May 23, 2018], Mckinsey Global Institute. https://www.mckinsey.com/featured-insights/future-of-work/skill-shift-automation-and-the-future-of-the-workforce

Castillo, M., Gligo, N., & Rovira, S. (2017). La política industrial 4.0 en la América Latina. In M. Cimoli et al. (Eds.), Políticas industriales y tecnológicas em América Latina (pp. 549-572). Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL). https://repositorio.cepal.org/bitstream/handle/11362/42363/4/S1700602_es.pdf

Certeza, R. A. (2018). The Palea struggle against outsourcing and contractualization in the airline industry in the Philippines. [GLU Working Papers, No. 52], Global Labour University. https://global-labour-university.org/fileadmin/GLU_Working_Papers/GLU_WP_No.52.pdf

Cimoli, M., Castillo, M., Porcile, G., & Stumpo, G. (Eds.) (2017). Políticas industriales y tecnológicas em América Latina. Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL). https://repositorio.cepal.org/bitstream/handle/11362/42363/4/S1700602_es.pdf

Comissão Econômica para a América Latina e o Caribe (CEPAL) (2018). A ineficiência da desigualdade. Síntese. [LC/SES.37/4]. https://www.cepal.org/pt-br/publicaciones/43569-ineficiencia-desigualdade-sintese

Frey, C.-B., & Osborne, M. (september, 2013). The future of employment: how susceptible are jobs to computerisation? Technological Forecasting and Social Change, (114), 254–280. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2016.08.019

Hawksworth, J., Berriman, R., & Goel, S. (2018). Will robots really steal our jobs? An international analysis of the potential long term impact of automation. Pricewaterhouse-Coopers (PwC). https://www.pwc.com/hu/hu/kiadvanyok/assets/pdf/impact_of_automation_on_jobs.pdf

Instituto de Estudos para o Desenvolvimento Industrial (IEDI) (2017, julho 21). Indústria 4.0: Desafios e oportunidades para o Brasil. Carta IEDI, (797), 1–23. https://www.iedi.org.br/cartas/carta_iedi_n_797.html

Instituto de Estudos para o Desenvolvimento Industrial (IEDI) (2017, setembro 1). Indústria 4.0: O futuro da indústria. Carta IEDI, (803), 1-11. https://www.iedi.org.br/cartas/carta_iedi_n_803.html

Instituto de Estudos para o Desenvolvimento Industrial (IEDI) (2017, setembro 29). Indústria 4.0: A política industrial da Alemanha para o futuro. Carta IEDI, (807), 1–29. https://www.iedi.org.br/cartas/carta_iedi_n_807.html

Instituto de Estudos para o Desenvolvimento Industrial (IEDI) (2017, dezembro 11). Indústria 4.0: O plano estratégico da manufatura avançada nos EUA. Carta IEDI, (820), 1–38. https://www.iedi.org.br/cartas/carta_iedi_n_820.html

Instituto de Estudos para o Desenvolvimento Industrial (IEDI) (2017, dezembro 29). Indústria 4.0: Políticas e estratégias nacionais face à nova revolução produtiva. Carta IEDI, (823), 1–13. https://www.iedi.org.br/cartas/carta_iedi_n_823.html

Katz, R. (2015). El ecosistema y la economía digital en América Latina. Editorial Ariel y CEPAL. https://www.cepal.org/es/publicaciones/38916-ecosistema-la-economia-digital-america-latina

Manyika, J., Chui, M., Bughin, J., Dobbs, R., Bisson, P., & Marrs, A. (2013, May). Disruptive technologies: Advances that will transform life, business, and the global economy. Mckinsey Global Institute. https://www.mckinsey.com/business-functions/mckinsey-digital/our-insights/disruptive-technologies

Manyika, J., Chui, M., Miremadi, M., Bughin, J., George, K., Willmott, P., & Dewhurst, M. (2017, January). A future that works: automation, employment and productivitiy. Mckinsey Global Institute https://www.mckinsey.com/featured-insights/digital-disruption/harnessing-automation-for-a-future-that-works/de-DE

Manyika, J., Lund, S., Chui, M., Bughin, J., Woetzel, J., Batra, P., Ko, R., & Sanghvi, S. (2017, December). Jobs lost, jobs gained: workforce transitions in a time of automation. Mckinsey Global Institute. https://www.mckinsey.com/featured-insights/future-of-work/jobs-lost-jobs-gained-what-the-future-of-work-will-mean-for-jobs-skills-and-wages

National Science and Technology Council (NSTC) (2012). A national strategic plan for a advanced manufacturing. Executive Office of the President of the United States. https://www.energy.gov/sites/prod/files/2013/11/f4/nstc_feb2012.pdf

Nübler, I. (2016). New technologies: A jobless future or golden age of job creation? [ILO Research Department Working Paper, No. 13], International Labour Office. https://www.ilo.org/wcmsp5/groups/public/---dgreports/---inst/documents/publication/wcms_544189.pdf

Organização Internacional do Trabalho (OIT) (2015). O futuro do trabalho: Iniciativa do centenário. [Conferência Internacional do Trabalho, 104ª Sessão, Relatório do Diretor-geral. Relatório 1], Genebra. https://www.ilo.org/wcmsp5/groups/public/---europe/---ro-geneva/---ilo-lisbon/documents/publication/wcms_715123.pdf

Parker, K., & Raine, L. (2016). The state of American jobs. Pew Reserch Center. https://www.pewresearch.org/social-trends/2016/10/06/the-state-of-american-jobs/

Restrepo, P., & Acemoglu, D. (2018). The race between man and machine: Implications of technology for growth, factor shares and employment. American Economic Review, 108(6), 1488–1542. https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.20160696

Saldivar, A. A. F., Li, Y., Chen, W. N., Zhan, Z. H., Zhang, J., & Chen, L. Y. (2015). Industry 4.0 with cyber-physical integration: A design and manufacture perspective. [21st International Conference on Automation and Computing: Automation, Computing and Manufacturing for New Economic Growth]. Institute of Eletrical and Electronics Engineers. https://doi.org/10.1109/IConAC.2015.7313954

Stewart, I., Debapratim, D., & Cole, A. (2014). Technology and people: The great job-creating machine. https://www2.deloitte.com/tr/en/pages/technology/articles/technology-and-people.html

The Economist (2017, January 14). Lifelong learning is becoming an economic imperative. [Special Report]. https://www.economist.com/special-report/2017/01/12/lifelong-learning-is-becoming-an-economic-imperative

Wisskirchen, G., Biacabe, B. T., Bormann, U., Muntz, A., Niehaus, G., Jiménez Soler, G., von Brauchitsch, B. (2017). Artificial intelligence and robotics and their impact on the workplace. IBA Global Employment Institute (IBA GEI), International Bar Association. https://www.ibanet.org/Article/NewDetail.aspx?ArticleUid=012a3473-007f-4519-827c-7da56d7e3509

World Economic Forum (WEF) (2013). The future of jobs (Vol. 5, Executive summary). https://doi.org/10.1177/1946756712473437

World Economic Forum (WEF) (2016). The future of jobs. Employment, skills and workforce strategy for the Fourth Industrial Revolution. https://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_Future_of_Jobs.pdf

World Trade Organization (WTO) (2017). Impact of technology on labour market outcomes. In World Trade report 2017: Trade, technology and labour (pp. 74–103). https://www.wto-ilibrary.org/trade-monitoring/world-trade-report-2017_63827fc5-en

Creative Commons License

Ce travail est disponible sous licence Creative Commons Attribution - Pas d’Utilisation Commerciale - Partage dans les Mêmes Conditions 4.0 International.

(c) Tous droits réservés Denis Maracci Gimenez, Anselmo Luís dos Santos 2021

Téléchargements

Les données relatives au téléchargement ne sont pas encore disponibles.